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Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Tallon Griekspoor — Prediction

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 1. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Netherlands

38.29%

Tallon Griekspoor

Netherlands

61.71%

Average Odds

1.84  /  1.97

Market probability

51.71%  /  48.29%

Why This Prediction?

Tallon Griekspoor is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1778 vs 1705), a higher Elo rating (1815 vs 1744) and a stronger serve (70.0% vs 61.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1743.8 Elo 1814.8
1704.7 Elo (surface) 1778.2
169 Wins 162
112 Wins (surface) 100
8 Last 15 form 5
2 Head-to-head wins 4
0.982 Dominance ratio 1.174
70 Rank 69
30.9 Age 30.1
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Tallon Griekspoor

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–5L · 16.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Botic Van De Zandschulp Tallon Griekspoor

1st Serve In %

58.1%
62.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%
75.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.1%
56.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%
25.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%
50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.61
0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%
62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.1%
72.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%
58.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.6%
31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.0%
54.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.52
0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40
0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Botic Van De Zandschulp Tallon Griekspoor

Break Points Saved %

62.0%
61.4%

Break Points Converted %

48.6%
43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%
55.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.1%
40.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Botic Van De Zandschulp 2 – 4 Tallon Griekspoor

Grass Hertogenbosch · 2026-06-10

1. round

Tallon Griekspoor #41

Botic Van De Zandschulp #55

6-2 6-7 6-4
8 Aces 12
3 Double Faults 4
104 Service Points 100
69 First Serve In 67
46 First Serve Won 42
20 Second Serve Won 14
4 Break Points Saved 5
6 Break Points Faced 10
17 Winners 32
25 Unforced Errors 50
- Average Odds -
Hard Montpellier · 2025-01-27

R32

Tallon Griekspoor #46

Botic Van De Zandschulp #84

7-5 6-3
8 Aces 4
2 Double Faults 10
77 Service Points 57
47 First Serve In 28
34 First Serve Won 21
13 Second Serve Won 10
5 Break Points Saved 0
7 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Australian Open · 2023-01-16

R64

Tallon Griekspoor #63

Botic Van De Zandschulp #34

6-4 6-4 6-4
9 Aces 8
2 Double Faults 2
96 Service Points 86
69 First Serve In 55
51 First Serve Won 35
15 Second Serve Won 17
3 Break Points Saved 1
4 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Winston-Salem · 2022-08-22

R32

Botic Van De Zandschulp #23

Tallon Griekspoor #46

7-6(5) 6-3
3 Aces 5
5 Double Faults 2
70 Service Points 74
37 First Serve In 51
32 First Serve Won 33
17 Second Serve Won 12
1 Break Points Saved 0
2 Break Points Faced 2
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Amersfoort CH · 2021-07-12

F

Tallon Griekspoor #115

Botic Van De Zandschulp #132

6-1 3-6 6-1
0 Aces 4
3 Double Faults 4
94 Service Points 76
58 First Serve In 45
44 First Serve Won 31
13 Second Serve Won 11
5 Break Points Saved 5
7 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Hamburg CH · 2019-10-21

R32

Botic Van De Zandschulp #270

Tallon Griekspoor #172

6-0 0-0 RET
1 Aces 0
0 Double Faults 0
18 Service Points 21
13 First Serve In 16
11 First Serve Won 6
2 Second Serve Won 1
2 Break Points Saved 1
2 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Botic Van De Zandschulp — Last 10

L W W W W L W W L W

Tallon Griekspoor — Last 10

L L W W W L L L L W