ATP tennis predict — Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar

ATP Hard Shanghai · R16 06:00

Predicted probability

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Netherlands

27.76%

Rafael Jodar

Spain

72.24%

Average Odds

2.57 / 1.50

Market probability

36.86% / 63.14%

Why This Prediction?

Rafael Jodar is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (2013 vs 1960), a higher Elo rating (2132 vs 1987) and a stronger serve (68.5% vs 60.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1987.2 Elo 2132.3

1960.3 Elo (surface) 2013.3

181 Wins 48

124 Wins (surface) 27

11 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.140 Dominance ratio 1.130

41 Rank 13

31.0 Age 20.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

27 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Rafael Jodar

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 10W–3L · 76.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Botic Van De Zandschulp Rafael Jodar

1st Serve In %

59.0%

61.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.7%

69.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.9%

51.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

36.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

56.0%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.20

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.1%

74.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

56.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.6%

37.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.0%

57.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Botic Van De Zandschulp Rafael Jodar

Break Points Saved %

64.0%

58.9%

Break Points Converted %

44.9%

37.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

77.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.1%

45.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Botic Van De Zandschulp and Rafael Jodar have never played each other.

Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Rafael Jodar — Prediction