ATP tennis predict — Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Luciano Darderi

ATP Hard Winston Salem · R16 20:00

Predicted probability

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Netherlands

60.63%

Luciano Darderi

Italy

39.37%

Average Odds

1.65 / 2.19

Market probability

57.03% / 42.97%

Why This Prediction?

Botic Van De Zandschulp is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1715 vs 1553), more wins on hard courts (114 vs 19) and a stronger return game (42.0% vs 34.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1755.6 Elo 1777.0

1714.8 Elo (surface) 1552.9

171 Wins 94

114 Wins (surface) 19

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.140 Dominance ratio 0.883

71 Rank 22

30.9 Age 24.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Luciano Darderi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Botic Van De Zandschulp Luciano Darderi

1st Serve In %

58.1%

58.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.1%

48.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

33.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.61

0.77

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%

52.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.1%

71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.6%

36.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.0%

57.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Botic Van De Zandschulp Luciano Darderi

Break Points Saved %

62.0%

68.8%

Break Points Converted %

48.6%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

71.2%

Break Points Converted %

45.1%

48.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Botic Van De Zandschulp 0 – 0 Luciano Darderi

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-26

R16

Botic Van De Zandschulp #71

Luciano Darderi #22

6-1 6-0

12 Aces 0

5 Double Faults 3

50 Service Points 40

28 First Serve In 20

24 First Serve Won 10

9 Second Serve Won 6

1 Break Points Saved 3

1 Break Points Faced 8

31 Winners 6

19 Unforced Errors 17

1.6 Average Odds 2.2

Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Luciano Darderi — Prediction