ATP tennis predict — Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Jaime Faria

ATP Clay Estoril · 1. round

Predicted probability

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Netherlands

37.01%

Jaime Faria

Portugal

62.99%

Average Odds

2.40 / 1.56

Market probability

39.39% / 60.61%

Why This Prediction?

Jaime Faria is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1766 vs 1720), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1768 vs 1736) and a stronger serve (68.0% vs 60.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1720.3 Elo 1765.9

1736.0 Elo (surface) 1767.5

166 Wins 38

43 Wins (surface) 21

8 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.995 Dominance ratio 1.072

55 Rank 88

30.8 Age 23.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Jaime Faria

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Botic Van De Zandschulp Jaime Faria

1st Serve In %

58.1%

59.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%

72.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.1%

54.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

33.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%

51.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.61

0.63

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%

57.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.1%

76.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

52.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.6%

34.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.0%

55.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Botic Van De Zandschulp Jaime Faria

Break Points Saved %

62.0%

67.1%

Break Points Converted %

48.6%

43.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

55.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.1%

44.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Botic Van De Zandschulp 0 – 0 Jaime Faria

Clay Estoril · 2026-07-21

1. round

Jaime Faria #88

Botic Van De Zandschulp #55

6-3 6-4

1 Aces 5

8 Double Faults 2

56 Service Points 51

24 First Serve In 27

17 First Serve Won 19

15 Second Serve Won 15

3 Break Points Saved 0

7 Break Points Faced 2

15 Winners 9

38 Unforced Errors 23

1.6 Average Odds 2.4

Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Jaime Faria — Prediction