ATP tennis predict — Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkacz

ATP Hard Montreal · 3. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Netherlands

31.13%

Hubert Hurkacz

Poland

68.87%

Average Odds

2.91 / 1.41

Market probability

32.64% / 67.36%

Why This Prediction?

Hubert Hurkacz is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1821 vs 1700), a higher Elo rating (1845 vs 1737) and a stronger serve (69.1% vs 60.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1736.9 Elo 1844.6

1700.3 Elo (surface) 1820.8

168 Wins 260

111 Wins (surface) 172

8 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.962 Dominance ratio 1.007

70 Rank 72

30.8 Age 29.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Hubert Hurkacz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Botic Van De Zandschulp Hubert Hurkacz

1st Serve In %

58.1%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%

77.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.1%

47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%

45.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.61

0.80

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.1%

69.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

52.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.6%

32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.0%

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Botic Van De Zandschulp Hubert Hurkacz

Break Points Saved %

62.0%

60.6%

Break Points Converted %

48.6%

35.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.1%

41.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Botic Van De Zandschulp 1 – 0 Hubert Hurkacz

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-07

3. round

Botic Van De Zandschulp #70

Hubert Hurkacz #72

3-6 7-6 7-5

4 Aces 10

5 Double Faults 10

98 Service Points 114

58 First Serve In 65

38 First Serve Won 51

23 Second Serve Won 21

2 Break Points Saved 5

5 Break Points Faced 8

28 Winners 33

37 Unforced Errors 49

2.9 Average Odds 1.4

Clay Roland Garros · 2021-05-31

R128

Botic Van De Zandschulp #154

Hubert Hurkacz #20

6-7(5) 6-7(4) 6-2 6-2 6-4

5 Aces 11

6 Double Faults 2

163 Service Points 154

97 First Serve In 100

71 First Serve Won 70

42 Second Serve Won 28

6 Break Points Saved 7

8 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkacz — Prediction