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Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Francisco Cerundolo — Prediction

ATP Hard Beijing · 1. round 06:45

Predicted probability

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Netherlands

53.02%

Francisco Cerundolo

Argentina

46.98%

Average Odds

2.19  /  1.67

Market probability

43.26%  /  56.74%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1954.5 Elo 2015.6
1924.7 Elo (surface) 1929.5
178 Wins 190
121 Wins (surface) 68
10 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 4
1.140 Dominance ratio 0.869
40 Rank 22
31.0 Age 28.1
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–2L · 81.8%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Francisco Cerundolo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Botic Van De Zandschulp Francisco Cerundolo

1st Serve In %

58.3%
53.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%
70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.3%
48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.3%
25.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%
51.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.58
0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37
0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%
69.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.1%
67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%
54.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.6%
32.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.0%
50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.52
0.15

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40
0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Botic Van De Zandschulp Francisco Cerundolo

Break Points Saved %

64.7%
65.2%

Break Points Converted %

50.8%
34.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%
66.7%

Break Points Converted %

45.1%
47.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Botic Van De Zandschulp 0 – 4 Francisco Cerundolo

Clay French Open · 2026-05-25
6-3 6-4 6-7 6-4
5 Aces 6
4 Double Faults 9
152 Service Points 157
92 First Serve In 93
63 First Serve Won 64
29 Second Serve Won 27
11 Break Points Saved 11
15 Break Points Faced 19
29 Winners 49
54 Unforced Errors 72
1.2 Average Odds 5.4
Clay Munich · 2026-04-13
0 Aces 0
2 Double Faults 4
40 Service Points 54
20 First Serve In 31
14 First Serve Won 15
13 Second Serve Won 8
3 Break Points Saved 5
4 Break Points Faced 11
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Davis Cup QLS R2: NED vs ARG · 2025-09-12
- Aces -
- Double Faults -
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
- First Serve Won -
- Second Serve Won -
- Break Points Saved -
- Break Points Faced -
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Indian Wells Masters · 2025-03-05
2 Aces 1
2 Double Faults 2
71 Service Points 57
38 First Serve In 37
25 First Serve Won 24
20 Second Serve Won 9
4 Break Points Saved 1
5 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Botic Van De Zandschulp — Last 10

W W L L W W W W L W

Francisco Cerundolo — Last 10

L L W W W L L L W L