ATP tennis predict — Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Daniil Medvedev

ATP Hard Montreal · 2. round 01:10

Predicted probability

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Netherlands

27.76%

Daniil Medvedev

Russia

72.24%

Average Odds

3.71 / 1.28

Market probability

25.65% / 74.35%

Why This Prediction?

Daniil Medvedev is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1941 vs 1678), a higher Elo rating (1921 vs 1720) and more wins on hard courts (364 vs 110).

Player Comparison

1720.3 Elo 1921.2

1677.9 Elo (surface) 1940.9

167 Wins 486

110 Wins (surface) 364

7 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 4

0.977 Dominance ratio 0.950

70 Rank 6

30.8 Age 30.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Daniil Medvedev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Botic Van De Zandschulp Daniil Medvedev

1st Serve In %

58.1%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.2%

72.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.1%

52.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.2%

26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.3%

57.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.61

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.41

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%

63.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.1%

73.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.6%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.0%

49.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.75

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Botic Van De Zandschulp Daniil Medvedev

Break Points Saved %

62.0%

54.5%

Break Points Converted %

48.6%

46.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

77.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.1%

41.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Botic Van De Zandschulp 0 – 4 Daniil Medvedev

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-06

2. round

Botic Van De Zandschulp #70

Daniil Medvedev #6

6-3 7-6

3 Aces 0

9 Double Faults 4

68 Service Points 68

38 First Serve In 40

25 First Serve Won 20

6 Second Serve Won 17

2 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 8

0 Winners 0

0 Unforced Errors 0

3.7 Average Odds 1.3

Hard Rotterdam · 2023-02-13

R16

Daniil Medvedev #11

Botic Van De Zandschulp #35

6-2 6-2

6 Aces 0

2 Double Faults 5

58 Service Points 63

42 First Serve In 38

28 First Serve Won 21

11 Second Serve Won 10

6 Break Points Saved 12

6 Break Points Faced 16

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Cincinnati Masters · 2022-08-15

R32

Daniil Medvedev #1

Botic Van De Zandschulp #24

6-4 7-5

7 Aces 4

4 Double Faults 11

66 Service Points 77

38 First Serve In 40

33 First Serve Won 30

13 Second Serve Won 14

2 Break Points Saved 6

3 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Australian Open · 2022-01-17

R32

Daniil Medvedev #2

Botic Van De Zandschulp #57

6-4 6-4 6-2

10 Aces 3

6 Double Faults 0

86 Service Points 86

57 First Serve In 56

47 First Serve Won 33

15 Second Serve Won 19

3 Break Points Saved 7

3 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Us Open · 2021-08-30

QF

Daniil Medvedev #2

Botic Van De Zandschulp #117

6-3 6-0 4-6 7-5

13 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 4

99 Service Points 114

65 First Serve In 76

54 First Serve Won 46

19 Second Serve Won 20

3 Break Points Saved 5

5 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Daniil Medvedev — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Botic Van De Zandschulp — Last 10

Daniil Medvedev — Last 10