ATP tennis predict — Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Daniel Merida Aguilar

ATP Hard Shanghai · 1. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Netherlands

46.98%

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Spain

53.02%

Average Odds

1.93 / 1.86

Market probability

49.08% / 50.92%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1945.6 Elo 2001.2

1911.6 Elo (surface) 1922.3

178 Wins 33

121 Wins (surface) 14

9 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.140 Dominance ratio 1.054

41 Rank 44

31.0 Age 22.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–2L · 81.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Daniel Merida Aguilar

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Botic Van De Zandschulp Daniel Merida Aguilar

1st Serve In %

58.5%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.3%

72.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.6%

50.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.1%

27.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.1%

54.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.49

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.5%

66.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.1%

62.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.5%

46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

38.6%

31.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

59.0%

44.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.13

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Botic Van De Zandschulp Daniel Merida Aguilar

Break Points Saved %

67.0%

67.2%

Break Points Converted %

44.8%

44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

49.3%

Break Points Converted %

45.1%

29.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Botic Van De Zandschulp and Daniel Merida Aguilar have never played each other.

Botic Van De Zandschulp vs Daniel Merida Aguilar — Prediction