ATP tennis predict — Borna Gojo vs Matteo Martineau

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · R16 20:30

Predicted probability

Borna Gojo

Croatia

77.15%

Matteo Martineau

France

22.85%

Average Odds

1.26 / 3.54

Market probability

73.75% / 26.25%

Why This Prediction?

Borna Gojo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1794 vs 1573), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1788 vs 1602) and more wins on hard courts (41 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1794.3 Elo 1572.6

1788.2 Elo (surface) 1602.2

177 Wins (Challenger) 151

141 Wins (surface) 85

11 Last 15 form 7

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.100 Dominance ratio 1.047

156 Rank 281

28.6 Age 27.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Borna Gojo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Matteo Martineau

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Borna Gojo Matteo Martineau

1st Serve In %

64.7%

66.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.8%

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.4%

24.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.5%

44.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.76

0.67

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

55.4%

67.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.9%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.3%

41.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.1%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.0%

52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.58

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Borna Gojo Matteo Martineau

Break Points Saved %

62.3%

60.3%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%

27.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.1%

60.5%

Break Points Converted %

29.6%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Borna Gojo 1 – 0 Matteo Martineau

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-17

R16

Borna Gojo #156

Matteo Martineau #281

6-4 6-4

9 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

35 First Serve Won 25

11 Second Serve Won 14

5 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.5

Clay Naples CH · 2025-03-24

Q2

Borna Gojo #426

Matteo Martineau #262

6-4 6-1

9 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 5

57 Service Points 51

37 First Serve In 26

29 First Serve Won 19

8 Second Serve Won 8

2 Break Points Saved 5

3 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Borna Gojo vs Matteo Martineau — Prediction