ATP tennis predict — Blaise Bicknell vs Murphy Cassone

Challenger Hard Granby challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Blaise Bicknell

Jamaica

31.17%

Murphy Cassone

USA

68.83%

Average Odds

2.70 / 1.43

Market probability

34.62% / 65.38%

Why This Prediction?

Murphy Cassone is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1637 vs 1483), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1620 vs 1490) and more wins on hard courts (70 vs 34).

Player Comparison

1483.3 Elo 1637.1

1489.8 Elo (surface) 1619.9

51 Wins (Challenger) 78

34 Wins (surface) 70

8 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.036 Dominance ratio 0.870

354 Rank 287

24.6 Age 23.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Blaise Bicknell

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Murphy Cassone

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Blaise Bicknell Murphy Cassone

1st Serve In %

62.6%

67.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.1%

71.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.4%

48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.0%

25.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

63.8%

53.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.5%

64.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.1%

49.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%

26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.2%

44.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.36

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Blaise Bicknell Murphy Cassone

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

51.9%

Break Points Converted %

42.3%

48.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

70.9%

58.7%

Break Points Converted %

40.3%

57.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Blaise Bicknell 0 – 0 Murphy Cassone

Hard Granby challenger · 2026-07-16

R16

Murphy Cassone #287

Blaise Bicknell #354

6-7 6-2 7-5

7 Aces 7

5 Double Faults 1

106 Service Points 99

66 First Serve In 68

47 First Serve Won 50

19 Second Serve Won 19

3 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Blaise Bicknell vs Murphy Cassone — Prediction