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Blaise Bicknell vs Max Purcell — Prediction

Challenger Hard Kingston challenger · 1. round 23:00

Predicted probability

Blaise Bicknell

Jamaica

67.91%

Max Purcell

Australia

32.09%

Average Odds

2.06  /  1.62

Market probability

44.02%  /  55.98%

Why This Prediction?

Blaise Bicknell is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1463 vs 1459), a stronger return game (44.6% vs 30.2% of return points won) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1462.9 Elo 1459.1
1452.2 Elo (surface) 1459.1
51 Wins (Challenger) 154
34 Wins (surface) 136
6 Last 15 form 11
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.096 Dominance ratio 1.067
379 Rank 1046
24.7 Age 28.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Blaise Bicknell

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Max Purcell

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-08-18.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Blaise Bicknell Max Purcell

1st Serve In %

62.6%
54.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.1%
76.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.4%
52.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.0%
26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

63.8%
39.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.52
0.74

Double Faults per Service Game

0.28
0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.5%
64.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%
75.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.1%
54.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.9%
25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.2%
51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.36
0.67

Double Faults per Service Game

0.16
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Blaise Bicknell Max Purcell

Break Points Saved %

66.7%
63.1%

Break Points Converted %

42.3%
37.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

70.9%
59.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.3%
52.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Blaise Bicknell 00 Max Purcell

Hard Kingston challenger · 2026-08-18
6-4 6-7 6-3
9 Aces 9
3 Double Faults 3
107 Service Points 96
79 First Serve In 60
57 First Serve Won 49
14 Second Serve Won 21
5 Break Points Saved 3
7 Break Points Faced 3
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.6 Average Odds 2.1

Blaise Bicknell — Last 10

L L L L L L L W L L

Max Purcell — Last 10

L W W W L W W L W L