ATP tennis predict — Billy Harris vs Murphy Cassone

Challenger Hard St. Tropez challenger · R16 10:30

Predicted probability

Billy Harris

Great Britain

46.55%

Murphy Cassone

USA

53.45%

Average Odds

1.89 / 1.84

Market probability

49.33% / 50.67%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1701.3 Elo 1689.6

1637.5 Elo (surface) 1683.0

121 Wins (Challenger) 84

87 Wins (surface) 76

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.993 Dominance ratio 0.906

231 Rank 318

31.7 Age 24.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Billy Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-04.

Murphy Cassone

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Billy Harris Murphy Cassone

1st Serve In %

60.1%

67.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.6%

71.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.9%

48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.0%

25.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%

53.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.38

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.3%

64.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.0%

66.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.7%

49.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.9%

26.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%

44.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.70

0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Billy Harris Murphy Cassone

Break Points Saved %

53.9%

51.9%

Break Points Converted %

36.7%

48.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.3%

58.7%

Break Points Converted %

34.1%

57.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Billy Harris and Murphy Cassone have never played each other.

Billy Harris vs Murphy Cassone — Prediction