ATP tennis predict — Billy Harris vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Challenger Hard Mallorca challenger · R16 14:10

Predicted probability

Billy Harris

Great Britain

41.75%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Japan

58.25%

Average Odds

2.08 / 1.69

Market probability

44.83% / 55.17%

Why This Prediction?

Jay Dylan Hara Friend is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1708 vs 1606), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1694 vs 1613) and a stronger return game (36.6% vs 35.1% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1605.7 Elo 1708.0

1612.7 Elo (surface) 1694.1

118 Wins (Challenger) 28

84 Wins (surface) 28

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.055 Dominance ratio 1.020

161 Rank 312

31.6 Age 22.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Billy Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-04.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–7L · 53.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Billy Harris Jay Dylan Hara Friend

1st Serve In %

60.1%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

64.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.38

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.3%

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.0%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.7%

54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.9%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%

47.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.70

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Billy Harris Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Break Points Saved %

53.9%

—

Break Points Converted %

36.7%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.3%

52.3%

Break Points Converted %

34.1%

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Billy Harris 0 – 0 Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Hard Mallorca challenger · 2026-09-03

R16

Billy Harris #161

Jay Dylan Hara Friend #312

7-5 6-4

5 Aces 6

1 Double Faults 4

79 Service Points 60

46 First Serve In 36

33 First Serve Won 27

19 Second Serve Won 13

11 Break Points Saved 3

12 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Billy Harris vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend — Prediction