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Billy Harris vs Hugo Grenier — Prediction

Challenger Hard Mallorca challenger · 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Billy Harris

Great Britain

37.70%

Hugo Grenier

France

62.30%

Average Odds

1.83  /  1.90

Market probability

50.94%  /  49.06%

Why This Prediction?

Hugo Grenier is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1642 vs 1596), a higher Elo rating (1643 vs 1592) and a stronger return game (41.0% vs 34.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1591.5 Elo 1643.1
1595.9 Elo (surface) 1642.0
117 Wins (Challenger) 213
83 Wins (surface) 180
7 Last 15 form 5
0 Head-to-head wins 2
0.993 Dominance ratio 1.123
161 Rank 243
31.6 Age 30.4
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Billy Harris

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-04.

Hugo Grenier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

12 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Billy Harris Hugo Grenier

1st Serve In %

60.1%
63.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.6%
69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.9%
47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.0%
29.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.3%
52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.38
0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.3%
58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

76.0%
77.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.7%
48.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.9%
35.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.9%
50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.70
0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.39

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Billy Harris Hugo Grenier

Break Points Saved %

53.9%
63.5%

Break Points Converted %

36.7%
38.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.3%
60.4%

Break Points Converted %

34.1%
41.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Billy Harris 0 – 2 Hugo Grenier

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-07

1. round

Billy Harris #161

Hugo Grenier #243

7-5 6-3
6 Aces 4
5 Double Faults 3
61 Service Points 76
30 First Serve In 47
21 First Serve Won 34
11 Second Serve Won 10
4 Break Points Saved 7
10 Break Points Faced 10
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.6 Average Odds 2.2
Hard Mallorca challenger · 2026-09-01

1. round

Billy Harris #161

Hugo Grenier #243

6-2 7-6
4 Aces 5
1 Double Faults 5
67 Service Points 65
42 First Serve In 35
34 First Serve Won 28
15 Second Serve Won 14
3 Break Points Saved 6
3 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.8 Average Odds 1.9
Hard Alicante CH · 2023-10-02

QF

Hugo Grenier #213

Billy Harris #304

6-3 6-4
6 Aces 2
2 Double Faults 3
56 Service Points 65
33 First Serve In 38
23 First Serve Won 21
11 Second Serve Won 12
2 Break Points Saved 2
4 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Les Franqueses Del Valles CH · 2023-03-19

F

Hugo Grenier #146

Billy Harris #373

3-6 6-1 7-6(3)
15 Aces 2
2 Double Faults 1
99 Service Points 92
58 First Serve In 55
44 First Serve Won 35
20 Second Serve Won 21
6 Break Points Saved 5
8 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Billy Harris — Last 10

W L L W L W W L W L

Hugo Grenier — Last 10

L W W L L L W L W L