ATP tennis predict — Billy Blaydes vs Matteo Martineau

Challenger Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · 1. round 16:30

Predicted probability

Billy Blaydes

Great Britain

22.83%

Matteo Martineau

France

77.17%

Average Odds

2.64 / 1.41

Market probability

34.81% / 65.19%

Why This Prediction?

Matteo Martineau is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1618 vs 1446), more wins on hard courts (83 vs 0) and a stronger serve (67.8% vs 56.1% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1509.7 Elo 1512.9

1445.6 Elo (surface) 1617.7

2 Wins (Challenger) 149

0 Wins (surface) 83

2 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.793 Dominance ratio 1.259

1183 Rank 286

None Age 27.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Billy Blaydes

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-08-16.

Matteo Martineau

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–4L · 60.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–5L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Billy Blaydes Matteo Martineau

1st Serve In %

—

66.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

71.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

42.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

24.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

44.7%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.67

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

67.2%

67.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

41.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.1%

27.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.10

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Billy Blaydes Matteo Martineau

Break Points Saved %

—

60.3%

Break Points Converted %

—

27.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

60.5%

Break Points Converted %

42.9%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Billy Blaydes 0 – 0 Matteo Martineau

Hard Roehampton 2 challenger · 2026-08-24

1. round

Matteo Martineau #287

Billy Blaydes #1081

6-3 4-6 6-1

7 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 0

98 Service Points 73

55 First Serve In 49

35 First Serve Won 37

16 Second Serve Won 12

10 Break Points Saved 4

16 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Billy Blaydes vs Matteo Martineau — Prediction