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Bernardo Munk Mesa vs Hugo Dellien — Prediction

Challenger Clay Santa Cruz De La Sierra challenger · 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Hugo Dellien

Bolivia

83.76%

Average Odds

1.02  /  1.02

Market probability

50.00%  /  50.00%

Why This Prediction?

Hugo Dellien is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1771 vs 1511), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1801 vs 1577) and more wins on clay courts (263 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1511.2 Elo 1770.5
1577.4 Elo (surface) 1801.1
3 Wins (Challenger) 264
2 Wins (surface) 263
3 Last 15 form 10
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.011 Dominance ratio 0.890
1203 Rank 128
20.7 Age 33.3
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Bernardo Munk Mesa

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Hugo Dellien

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–5L · 68.8%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bernardo Munk Mesa Hugo Dellien

1st Serve In %

—
66.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
47.4%

Aces per Service Game

—
0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

—
0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.0%
65.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.4%
60.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.7%
44.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%
32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.0%
52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.18
0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bernardo Munk Mesa Hugo Dellien

Break Points Saved %

—
53.8%

Break Points Converted %

—
40.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

46.4%
43.1%

Break Points Converted %

31.2%
37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Bernardo Munk Mesa and Hugo Dellien have never played each other.

Bernardo Munk Mesa — Last 6

L W W L L W

Hugo Dellien — Last 10

L W L W L W W W W L