ATP tennis predict — Bernard Tomic vs Yuta Kikuchi

Challenger Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

Bernard Tomic

Australia

75.75%

Yuta Kikuchi

Japan

24.25%

Average Odds

1.10 / 6.44

Market probability

85.41% / 14.59%

Why This Prediction?

Bernard Tomic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1697 vs 1472), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1669 vs 1466) and more wins on hard courts (167 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1697.4 Elo 1472.4

1668.8 Elo (surface) 1466.4

154 Wins (Challenger) 11

121 Wins (surface) 11

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.942 Dominance ratio 0.944

185 Rank 1024

33.9 Age 27.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Bernard Tomic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–4L · 69.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

35 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Yuta Kikuchi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-13.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bernard Tomic Yuta Kikuchi

1st Serve In %

57.2%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.54

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

64.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

65.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%

31.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.1%

46.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.83

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bernard Tomic Yuta Kikuchi

Break Points Saved %

55.9%

—

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

70.5%

51.5%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Bernard Tomic 0 – 0 Yuta Kikuchi

Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · 2026-09-15

1. round

Bernard Tomic #185

Yuta Kikuchi #1024

6-0 6-2

10 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

22 First Serve Won 16

7 Second Serve Won 7

0 Break Points Saved 5

0 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 6.4

Bernard Tomic vs Yuta Kikuchi — Prediction