ATP tennis predict — Bernard Tomic vs Tristan Boyer

Challenger Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Bernard Tomic

Australia

49.80%

Tristan Boyer

USA

50.20%

Average Odds

2.66 / 1.43

Market probability

34.96% / 65.04%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1687.1 Elo 1731.4

1664.5 Elo (surface) 1510.5

151 Wins (Challenger) 85

118 Wins (surface) 29

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.022 Dominance ratio 1.058

170 Rank 166

33.8 Age 25.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Bernard Tomic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–4L · 69.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

35 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Tristan Boyer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–4L · 63.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bernard Tomic Tristan Boyer

1st Serve In %

57.2%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

71.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.0%

49.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.0%

30.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.54

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

75.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

49.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%

32.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.1%

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.83

0.49

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bernard Tomic Tristan Boyer

Break Points Saved %

55.9%

63.3%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

70.5%

63.9%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

40.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Bernard Tomic 0 – 1 Tristan Boyer

Hard Los Cabos · 2026-07-27

qualification - quarterfinal

Tristan Boyer #162

Bernard Tomic #171

-

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 2026-07-22

1. round

Tristan Boyer #166

Bernard Tomic #170

1-3

0 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 2

13 Service Points 16

8 First Serve In 6

6 First Serve Won 4

3 Second Serve Won 4

1 Break Points Saved 3

1 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.7

Hard Bengaluru CH · 2024-02-12

R32

Tristan Boyer #255

Bernard Tomic #273

3-6 6-3 6-3

6 Aces 10

5 Double Faults 5

80 Service Points 112

46 First Serve In 58

32 First Serve Won 40

18 Second Serve Won 21

5 Break Points Saved 15

8 Break Points Faced 20

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Bernard Tomic vs Tristan Boyer — Prediction

Why This Prediction?

Player Comparison

Performance vs. the Odds

Serve & Return

Break Point Performance

Head-to-Head

Bernard Tomic — Last 10

Tristan Boyer — Last 10