ATP tennis predict — Bernard Tomic vs Rigele Te

ATP Hard Hangzhou · qualification - round of 16 07:30

Predicted probability

Bernard Tomic

Australia

84.49%

Rigele Te

China

15.51%

Average Odds

1.15 / 5.05

Market probability

81.45% / 18.55%

Why This Prediction?

Bernard Tomic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1703 vs 1327), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1679 vs 1310) and more wins on hard courts (167 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1703.0 Elo 1326.5

1678.9 Elo (surface) 1310.0

254 Wins 4

167 Wins (surface) 2

7 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.693 Dominance ratio 0.758

182 Rank 839

33.9 Age 29.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Bernard Tomic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–4L · 69.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

35 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Rigele Te

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-09-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bernard Tomic Rigele Te

1st Serve In %

57.2%

54.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

76.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.0%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.0%

22.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

44.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.54

0.64

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

57.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

63.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%

23.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.1%

47.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.83

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bernard Tomic Rigele Te

Break Points Saved %

55.9%

65.2%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

29.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

70.5%

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

35.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Bernard Tomic 0 – 0 Rigele Te

Hard Hangzhou · 2026-09-22

qualification - round of 16

Bernard Tomic #182

Rigele Te #839

6-7 6-4 7-5

10 Aces 22

1 Double Faults 5

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

51 First Serve Won 60

20 Second Serve Won 25

1 Break Points Saved 11

2 Break Points Faced 14

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 5.0

Bernard Tomic vs Rigele Te — Prediction