ATP tennis predict — Bernard Tomic vs Masamichi Imamura

Challenger Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · 1. round 05:05

Predicted probability

Bernard Tomic

Australia

63.30%

Masamichi Imamura

Japan

36.70%

Average Odds

1.45 / 2.60

Market probability

64.20% / 35.80%

Why This Prediction?

Bernard Tomic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1675 vs 1550), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1648 vs 1580) and a stronger serve (65.0% vs 58.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1674.6 Elo 1550.4

1647.8 Elo (surface) 1580.1

152 Wins (Challenger) 49

119 Wins (surface) 49

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.014 Dominance ratio 0.847

179 Rank 398

33.9 Age 27.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Bernard Tomic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–4L · 69.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

35 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Masamichi Imamura

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bernard Tomic Masamichi Imamura

1st Serve In %

57.2%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.0%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.54

0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.00

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

68.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%

31.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.1%

52.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.83

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bernard Tomic Masamichi Imamura

Break Points Saved %

55.9%

—

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

70.5%

59.1%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

51.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Bernard Tomic 0 – 1 Masamichi Imamura

Hard Zhangjiagang challenger · 2026-09-01

1. round

Bernard Tomic #179

Masamichi Imamura #398

6-4 3-6 6-4

18 Aces 5

5 Double Faults 3

88 Service Points 86

58 First Serve In 57

45 First Serve Won 38

9 Second Serve Won 13

9 Break Points Saved 5

14 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Hard Brisbane 2 CH · 2025-02-03

R32

Masamichi Imamura #355

Bernard Tomic #230

6-2 3-6 6-2

8 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 0

71 Service Points 72

38 First Serve In 49

28 First Serve Won 36

19 Second Serve Won 9

0 Break Points Saved 5

1 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Bernard Tomic vs Masamichi Imamura — Prediction