ATP tennis predict — Bernard Tomic vs Jake Delaney

Challenger Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · R16 11:00

Predicted probability

Bernard Tomic

Australia

76.57%

Jake Delaney

Australia

23.43%

Average Odds

1.25 / 3.75

Market probability

75.00% / 25.00%

Why This Prediction?

Bernard Tomic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1701 vs 1465), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1674 vs 1477) and more wins on hard courts (167 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1701.2 Elo 1465.2

1673.7 Elo (surface) 1477.3

155 Wins (Challenger) 31

122 Wins (surface) 31

10 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.942 Dominance ratio 0.955

185 Rank 351

33.9 Age 29.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Bernard Tomic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–4L · 69.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

35 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Jake Delaney

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-09-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bernard Tomic Jake Delaney

1st Serve In %

57.2%

65.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

66.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.0%

40.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.0%

22.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

46.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.54

1.00

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%

26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.1%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.83

0.69

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bernard Tomic Jake Delaney

Break Points Saved %

55.9%

65.4%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

16.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

70.5%

71.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

32.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Bernard Tomic 0 – 0 Jake Delaney

Hard Guangzhou 2 challenger · 2026-09-17

R16

Bernard Tomic #185

Jake Delaney #351

6-3 6-2

10 Aces 13

1 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

29 First Serve Won 22

8 Second Serve Won 7

0 Break Points Saved 4

0 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.8

Bernard Tomic vs Jake Delaney — Prediction