ATP tennis predict — Bernard Tomic vs Edward Winter

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · 1. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Bernard Tomic

Australia

46.11%

Edward Winter

Australia

53.89%

Average Odds

1.51 / 2.43

Market probability

61.68% / 38.32%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1684.7 Elo 1602.3

1656.2 Elo (surface) 1632.1

151 Wins (Challenger) 38

118 Wins (surface) 36

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.012 Dominance ratio 1.366

160 Rank 348

33.8 Age 21.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Bernard Tomic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–4L · 69.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

35 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Edward Winter

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bernard Tomic Edward Winter

1st Serve In %

57.2%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

64.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.0%

42.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.0%

30.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

45.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.54

0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

45.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%

38.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.1%

52.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.83

0.09

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bernard Tomic Edward Winter

Break Points Saved %

55.9%

58.8%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

25.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

70.5%

64.9%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

38.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Bernard Tomic 0 – 0 Edward Winter

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-13

1. round

Bernard Tomic #160

Edward Winter #348

6-7 6-4 6-3

7 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 3

109 Service Points 114

57 First Serve In 77

41 First Serve Won 46

25 Second Serve Won 16

5 Break Points Saved 12

8 Break Points Faced 17

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Bernard Tomic vs Edward Winter — Prediction