ATP tennis predict — Bernard Tomic vs Darwin Blanch

Challenger Hard Lincoln challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Bernard Tomic

Australia

48.18%

Darwin Blanch

USA

51.82%

Average Odds

2.66 / 1.46

Market probability

35.44% / 64.56%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1644.9 Elo 1637.7

1614.6 Elo (surface) 1437.0

146 Wins (Challenger) 29

113 Wins (surface) 17

6 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.062 Dominance ratio 1.087

206 Rank 225

33.7 Age 18.8

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Bernard Tomic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–4L · 69.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

35 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Darwin Blanch

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bernard Tomic Darwin Blanch

1st Serve In %

57.2%

58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.0%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.0%

28.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

45.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.54

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

61.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

76.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

51.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.1%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.83

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bernard Tomic Darwin Blanch

Break Points Saved %

55.9%

56.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

33.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

70.5%

55.3%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

42.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Bernard Tomic 0 – 0 Darwin Blanch

Hard Lincoln challenger · 2026-07-15

1. round

Bernard Tomic #206

Darwin Blanch #225

6-4 6-7 6-3

13 Aces 6

8 Double Faults 5

95 Service Points 108

47 First Serve In 71

33 First Serve Won 53

25 Second Serve Won 16

0 Break Points Saved 1

5 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.7 Average Odds 1.5

Bernard Tomic vs Darwin Blanch — Prediction