ATP tennis predict — Bernard Tomic vs Andre Ilagan

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · R16 20:30

Predicted probability

Bernard Tomic

Australia

46.45%

Andre Ilagan

USA

53.55%

Average Odds

1.56 / 2.24

Market probability

58.95% / 41.05%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1684.7 Elo 1709.1

1656.2 Elo (surface) 1701.9

151 Wins (Challenger) 80

118 Wins (surface) 77

9 Last 15 form 9

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.012 Dominance ratio 0.945

160 Rank 243

33.8 Age 25.7

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Bernard Tomic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–4L · 69.2%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–8L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

35 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Andre Ilagan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 6W–8L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

32 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bernard Tomic Andre Ilagan

1st Serve In %

57.2%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.9%

63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.0%

52.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.0%

27.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

45.9%

41.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.54

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.9%

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

74.5%

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.3%

56.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%

34.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.1%

48.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.83

0.73

Double Faults per Service Game

0.14

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Bernard Tomic Andre Ilagan

Break Points Saved %

55.9%

61.8%

Break Points Converted %

45.3%

30.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

70.5%

53.5%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

34.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Bernard Tomic 1 – 0 Andre Ilagan

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-14

R16

Andre Ilagan #243

Bernard Tomic #160

-

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Hard Calgary CH · 2024-10-14

R16

Bernard Tomic #207

Andre Ilagan #392

6-3 6-2

2 Aces 2

0 Double Faults 6

52 Service Points 48

29 First Serve In 24

21 First Serve Won 12

18 Second Serve Won 13

3 Break Points Saved 4

3 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Bernard Tomic vs Andre Ilagan — Prediction