ATP tennis predict — Benjamin Willwerth vs Gonzalo Bueno

Challenger Hard Kingston challenger · 1. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Benjamin Willwerth

USA

28.16%

Gonzalo Bueno

Peru

71.84%

Average Odds

3.29 / 1.28

Market probability

28.01% / 71.99%

Why This Prediction?

Gonzalo Bueno is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1669 vs 1413), more career match wins (103 vs 0) and better recent form (8 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1413.4 Elo 1668.8

1448.7 Elo (surface) 1390.4

0 Wins (Challenger) 103

0 Wins (surface) 2

0 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.860 Dominance ratio 0.807

1227 Rank 178

19.1 Age 22.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Benjamin Willwerth

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Gonzalo Bueno

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benjamin Willwerth Gonzalo Bueno

1st Serve In %

58.1%

61.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.7%

62.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.7%

51.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.7%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.6%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.24

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.9%

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.1%

60.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

45.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.0%

34.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.7%

43.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benjamin Willwerth Gonzalo Bueno

Break Points Saved %

37.5%

68.8%

Break Points Converted %

13.3%

48.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.3%

64.6%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%

31.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Benjamin Willwerth 0 – 0 Gonzalo Bueno

Hard Kingston challenger · 2026-08-18

1. round

Gonzalo Bueno #178

Benjamin Willwerth #1227

3-6 6-2 6-2

2 Aces 1

6 Double Faults 8

91 Service Points 90

48 First Serve In 45

33 First Serve Won 27

17 Second Serve Won 26

10 Break Points Saved 8

15 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.3

Benjamin Willwerth vs Gonzalo Bueno — Prediction