ATP tennis predict — Benjamin Pietri vs Mathys Erhard

Challenger Hard Cassis challenger · 1. round 11:30

Predicted probability

Benjamin Pietri

France

31.05%

Mathys Erhard

France

68.95%

Average Odds

4.75 / 1.17

Market probability

19.76% / 80.24%

Why This Prediction?

Mathys Erhard is the favorite because he has more career match wins (79 vs 3), more wins on hard courts (21 vs 3) and a stronger serve (64.5% vs 57.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1603.0 Elo 1622.8

1589.7 Elo (surface) 1586.8

3 Wins (Challenger) 79

3 Wins (surface) 21

3 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.793 Dominance ratio 1.025

786 Rank 339

30.1 Age 24.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Benjamin Pietri

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

3 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Mathys Erhard

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benjamin Pietri Mathys Erhard

1st Serve In %

—

64.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

63.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

48.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

32.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

62.2%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.21

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.2%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.8%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.3%

51.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.1%

28.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.6%

41.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.29

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benjamin Pietri Mathys Erhard

Break Points Saved %

—

65.1%

Break Points Converted %

—

47.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.8%

51.0%

Break Points Converted %

35.7%

28.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Benjamin Pietri 0 – 0 Mathys Erhard

Hard Cassis challenger · 2026-09-08

1. round

Mathys Erhard #339

Benjamin Pietri #786

6-3 6-4

4 Aces 7

2 Double Faults 5

51 Service Points 68

34 First Serve In 34

23 First Serve Won 26

9 Second Serve Won 21

0 Break Points Saved 6

2 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.8

Benjamin Pietri vs Mathys Erhard — Prediction