ATP tennis predict — Benjamin O'Connell vs Taisei Ichikawa

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · qualification - round of 16 05:00

Predicted probability

Benjamin O'Connell

Australia

17.25%

Taisei Ichikawa

Japan

82.75%

Average Odds

3.13 / 1.32

Market probability

29.66% / 70.34%

Why This Prediction?

Taisei Ichikawa is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1606 vs 1482), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1610 vs 1538) and more career match wins (24 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1482.4 Elo 1606.3

1537.7 Elo (surface) 1609.6

1 Wins (Challenger) 24

1 Wins (surface) 24

1 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.190 Dominance ratio 0.922

984 Rank 768

27.4 Age 25.7

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Benjamin O'Connell

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Taisei Ichikawa

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benjamin O'Connell Taisei Ichikawa

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

61.0%

57.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.6%

65.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.3%

48.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

36.5%

30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.6%

52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.59

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.47

0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benjamin O'Connell Taisei Ichikawa

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

67.4%

59.6%

Break Points Converted %

46.3%

33.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Benjamin O'Connell 0 – 0 Taisei Ichikawa

Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · 2026-09-07

qualification - round of 16

Benjamin O'Connell #984

Taisei Ichikawa #768

6-7 7-5 6-2

4 Aces 5

9 Double Faults 4

110 Service Points 112

72 First Serve In 61

49 First Serve Won 39

16 Second Serve Won 26

8 Break Points Saved 9

11 Break Points Faced 15

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

3.1 Average Odds 1.3

Benjamin O'Connell vs Taisei Ichikawa — Prediction