ATP tennis predict — Benjamin Kittay vs Mees Rottgering

Challenger Hard Brownsburg challenger · qualification - 1. round 19:00

Predicted probability

Benjamin Kittay

USA

9.63%

Mees Rottgering

Netherlands

90.37%

Average Odds

6.37 / 1.06

Market probability

14.27% / 85.73%

Why This Prediction?

Mees Rottgering is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1550 vs 1295), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1563 vs 1368) and better recent form (7 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0).

Player Comparison

1294.9 Elo 1550.0

1367.7 Elo (surface) 1562.8

0 Wins (Challenger) 8

0 Wins (surface) 5

0 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.755 Dominance ratio 0.967

- Rank 416

23.0 Age 19.1

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Benjamin Kittay

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-09.

Mees Rottgering

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benjamin Kittay Mees Rottgering

1st Serve In %

50.8%

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%

66.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.8%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.3%

28.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

28.6%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.40

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.9%

56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.7%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

39.5%

39.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.8%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.9%

46.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.69

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benjamin Kittay Mees Rottgering

Break Points Saved %

61.5%

62.2%

Break Points Converted %

0.0%

31.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

64.7%

48.5%

Break Points Converted %

36.8%

32.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Benjamin Kittay 0 – 0 Mees Rottgering

Hard Brownsburg challenger · 2026-08-09

qualification - 1. round

Mees Rottgering #416

Benjamin Kittay #-

6-2 6-3

8 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 2

49 Service Points 43

30 First Serve In 32

21 First Serve Won 27

8 Second Serve Won 6

0 Break Points Saved 1

4 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 6.4

Benjamin Kittay vs Mees Rottgering — Prediction