ATP tennis predict — Benjamin Bonzi vs Soon Woo Kwon

Challenger Hard Quebec City challenger · R16 20:30

Predicted probability

Benjamin Bonzi

France

30.01%

Soon Woo Kwon

South Korea

69.99%

Average Odds

1.87 / 1.80

Market probability

49.05% / 50.95%

Why This Prediction?

Soon Woo Kwon is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1775 vs 1533), a higher Elo rating (1775 vs 1772) and a stronger return game (40.5% vs 35.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1771.7 Elo 1774.8

1532.5 Elo (surface) 1774.9

198 Wins (Challenger) 145

140 Wins (surface) 135

10 Last 15 form 12

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.948 Dominance ratio 1.150

100 Rank 152

30.2 Age 28.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Benjamin Bonzi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Soon Woo Kwon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benjamin Bonzi Soon Woo Kwon

1st Serve In %

57.9%

56.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%

76.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

55.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.9%

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.9%

53.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.8%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%

52.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benjamin Bonzi Soon Woo Kwon

Break Points Saved %

55.4%

67.2%

Break Points Converted %

38.8%

40.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

80.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%

49.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Benjamin Bonzi 0 – 0 Soon Woo Kwon

Hard Quebec City challenger · 2026-08-20

R16

Benjamin Bonzi #100

Soon Woo Kwon #152

-

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Benjamin Bonzi vs Soon Woo Kwon — Prediction