ATP tennis predict — Benjamin Bonzi vs Michael Mmoh

Challenger Hard Vancouver challenger · R16

Predicted probability

Benjamin Bonzi

France

40.96%

Michael Mmoh

USA

59.04%

Average Odds

1.58 / 2.26

Market probability

58.85% / 41.15%

Why This Prediction?

Michael Mmoh is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1713 vs 1507), a stronger return game (44.8% vs 36.5% of return points won) and more wins on hard courts (181 vs 137).

Player Comparison

1787.8 Elo 1656.1

1507.0 Elo (surface) 1712.9

195 Wins (Challenger) 205

137 Wins (surface) 181

11 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.094 Dominance ratio 1.305

101 Rank 187

30.1 Age 28.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Benjamin Bonzi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Michael Mmoh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benjamin Bonzi Michael Mmoh

1st Serve In %

57.9%

65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%

73.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

45.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.9%

27.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

47.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.9%

54.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.8%

64.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

47.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

22.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.27

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.48

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benjamin Bonzi Michael Mmoh

Break Points Saved %

55.4%

69.6%

Break Points Converted %

38.8%

34.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

49.3%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%

46.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Benjamin Bonzi 0 – 1 Michael Mmoh

Hard Vancouver challenger · 2026-07-29

R16

Benjamin Bonzi #101

Michael Mmoh #187

7-5 6-4

6 Aces 8

4 Double Faults 10

66 Service Points 81

42 First Serve In 39

33 First Serve Won 27

11 Second Serve Won 20

4 Break Points Saved 6

6 Break Points Faced 10

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.6 Average Odds 2.3

Hard Montpellier · 2024-01-29

R32

Michael Mmoh #133

Benjamin Bonzi #126

6-3 7-5

10 Aces 6

0 Double Faults 2

69 Service Points 57

55 First Serve In 30

41 First Serve Won 24

8 Second Serve Won 15

2 Break Points Saved 1

2 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Benjamin Bonzi vs Michael Mmoh — Prediction