ATP tennis predict — Benjamin Bonzi vs Justin Boulais

Challenger Hard Quebec City challenger · 1. round 02:50

Predicted probability

Benjamin Bonzi

France

68.82%

Justin Boulais

Canada

31.18%

Average Odds

1.22 / 3.99

Market probability

76.58% / 23.42%

Why This Prediction?

Benjamin Bonzi is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1768 vs 1527), a stronger serve (67.1% vs 52.9% of service points won) and more wins on hard courts (59 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1767.6 Elo 1526.9

1520.3 Elo (surface) 1526.6

197 Wins (Challenger) 45

139 Wins (surface) 45

10 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.005 Dominance ratio 0.950

100 Rank 398

30.2 Age 24.8

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Benjamin Bonzi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Justin Boulais

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benjamin Bonzi Justin Boulais

1st Serve In %

57.9%

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%

60.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.9%

21.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

43.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.56

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.9%

60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.8%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

34.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%

51.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benjamin Bonzi Justin Boulais

Break Points Saved %

55.4%

57.7%

Break Points Converted %

38.8%

16.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

54.4%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%

46.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Benjamin Bonzi 0 – 0 Justin Boulais

Hard Quebec City challenger · 2026-08-19

1. round

Benjamin Bonzi #100

Justin Boulais #398

7-6 6-3

3 Aces 1

6 Double Faults 4

86 Service Points 62

53 First Serve In 31

37 First Serve Won 22

16 Second Serve Won 17

6 Break Points Saved 3

8 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.0

Benjamin Bonzi vs Justin Boulais — Prediction