ATP tennis predict — Benjamin Bonzi vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Challenger Hard Vancouver challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Benjamin Bonzi

France

52.66%

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Japan

47.34%

Average Odds

1.52 / 2.43

Market probability

61.52% / 38.48%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1797.0 Elo 1658.8

1535.7 Elo (surface) 1673.3

197 Wins (Challenger) 23

139 Wins (surface) 23

11 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.006 Dominance ratio 0.845

101 Rank 376

30.1 Age 22.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Benjamin Bonzi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–7L · 53.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

29 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benjamin Bonzi Jay Dylan Hara Friend

1st Serve In %

57.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.44

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.9%

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.8%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

54.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

30.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%

47.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.39

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benjamin Bonzi Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Break Points Saved %

55.4%

—

Break Points Converted %

38.8%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

52.3%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Benjamin Bonzi 0 – 0 Jay Dylan Hara Friend

Hard Vancouver challenger · 2026-07-31

QF

Jay Dylan Hara Friend #376

Benjamin Bonzi #101

5-7 7-6 7-5

20 Aces 4

6 Double Faults 4

126 Service Points 130

64 First Serve In 85

50 First Serve Won 63

34 Second Serve Won 25

8 Break Points Saved 11

9 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Benjamin Bonzi vs Jay Dylan Hara Friend — Prediction