ATP tennis predict — Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse

Grand Slam Hard US Open · 2. round 22:00

Predicted probability

Benjamin Bonzi

France

33.16%

Ignacio Buse

Peru

66.84%

Average Odds

2.08 / 1.75

Market probability

45.69% / 54.31%

Why This Prediction?

Ignacio Buse is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1748 vs 1609), a higher Elo rating (1841 vs 1809) and a stronger return game (37.5% vs 35.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1809.0 Elo 1840.7

1608.8 Elo (surface) 1748.1

104 Wins 41

64 Wins (surface) 13

10 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.916 Dominance ratio 0.904

97 Rank 30

30.2 Age 22.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Benjamin Bonzi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Ignacio Buse

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benjamin Bonzi Ignacio Buse

1st Serve In %

57.9%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%

64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%

47.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.9%

25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%

52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.44

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.9%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.8%

69.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

37.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benjamin Bonzi Ignacio Buse

Break Points Saved %

55.4%

56.0%

Break Points Converted %

38.8%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.3%

54.8%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%

34.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Benjamin Bonzi 0 – 1 Ignacio Buse

Hard US Open · 2026-09-03

2. round

Benjamin Bonzi #97

Ignacio Buse #30

6-2 7-6 6-0

8 Aces 6

1 Double Faults 7

83 Service Points 83

52 First Serve In 56

45 First Serve Won 37

16 Second Serve Won 9

4 Break Points Saved 2

4 Break Points Faced 7

44 Winners 19

24 Unforced Errors 22

2.1 Average Odds 1.8

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-28

SF

Ignacio Buse #36

Benjamin Bonzi #109

6-2 4-6 6-1

7 Aces 4

0 Double Faults 4

65 Service Points 88

47 First Serve In 56

31 First Serve Won 35

15 Second Serve Won 10

4 Break Points Saved 7

6 Break Points Faced 13

28 Winners 23

21 Unforced Errors 45

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse — Prediction