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Benjamin Bonzi vs Botic Van De Zandschulp — Prediction

ATP Hard Winston Salem · QF 20:00

Predicted probability

Benjamin Bonzi

France

42.12%

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Netherlands

57.88%

Average Odds

2.75  /  1.44

Market probability

34.37%  /  65.63%

Why This Prediction?

Botic Van De Zandschulp is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1722 vs 1589), a stronger return game (48.1% vs 36.8% of return points won) and a better head-to-head record against Benjamin Bonzi (2-1).

Player Comparison

1800.2 Elo 1767.1
1589.4 Elo (surface) 1722.5
102 Wins 172
62 Wins (surface) 115
9 Last 15 form 9
1 Head-to-head wins 2
1.034 Dominance ratio 1.191
109 Rank 71
30.2 Age 30.9
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Benjamin Bonzi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benjamin Bonzi Botic Van De Zandschulp

1st Serve In %

57.9%
58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%
74.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%
44.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.9%
29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%
54.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.44
0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.9%
60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.8%
71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%
45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%
38.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%
59.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.41
0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31
0.40

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benjamin Bonzi Botic Van De Zandschulp

Break Points Saved %

55.4%
62.0%

Break Points Converted %

38.8%
48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.3%
50.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%
45.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Benjamin Bonzi 12 Botic Van De Zandschulp

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-27
6 Aces 13
1 Double Faults 6
70 Service Points 99
45 First Serve In 55
35 First Serve Won 43
14 Second Serve Won 16
0 Break Points Saved 11
1 Break Points Faced 13
18 Winners 31
22 Unforced Errors 46
2.8 Average Odds 1.4
Hard Pune · 2023-01-02
7-6(5) 6-7(5) 6-1
10 Aces 9
3 Double Faults 3
101 Service Points 106
71 First Serve In 69
54 First Serve Won 49
16 Second Serve Won 17
0 Break Points Saved 7
2 Break Points Faced 11
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Winston-Salem · 2022-08-22
15 Aces 3
1 Double Faults 2
93 Service Points 85
71 First Serve In 60
54 First Serve Won 43
10 Second Serve Won 15
2 Break Points Saved 3
3 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Hamburg CH · 2020-10-26
9 Aces 2
4 Double Faults 0
67 Service Points 86
47 First Serve In 50
38 First Serve Won 33
7 Second Serve Won 18
4 Break Points Saved 12
5 Break Points Faced 15
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Benjamin Bonzi — Last 10

L W W L W W W W L W

Botic Van De Zandschulp — Last 10

L W W W W L W W L W