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Benjamin Bonzi vs Blaise Bicknell — Prediction

Challenger Hard Vancouver challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Benjamin Bonzi

France

74.45%

Blaise Bicknell

Jamaica

25.55%

Average Odds

1.12  /  5.58

Market probability

83.28%  /  16.72%

Why This Prediction?

Benjamin Bonzi is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1788 vs 1468), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1507 vs 1470) and more wins on hard courts (58 vs 5).

Player Comparison

1787.8 Elo 1467.7
1507.0 Elo (surface) 1470.0
195 Wins (Challenger) 51
137 Wins (surface) 34
11 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.094 Dominance ratio 1.074
101 Rank 344
30.1 Age 24.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Benjamin Bonzi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–3L · 57.1%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Blaise Bicknell

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–3L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benjamin Bonzi Blaise Bicknell

1st Serve In %

57.9%
62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.0%
70.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.9%
59.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

24.9%
37.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.9%
63.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.44
0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.9%
63.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.8%
71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.6%
56.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%
30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.1%
47.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.41
0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31
0.16

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benjamin Bonzi Blaise Bicknell

Break Points Saved %

55.4%
66.7%

Break Points Converted %

38.8%
42.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.3%
70.9%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%
40.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Benjamin Bonzi 00 Blaise Bicknell

Hard Vancouver challenger · 2026-07-29
3-6 6-3 6-4
11 Aces 1
3 Double Faults 4
83 Service Points 78
45 First Serve In 51
38 First Serve Won 36
19 Second Serve Won 18
1 Break Points Saved 3
2 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.1 Average Odds 5.6

Benjamin Bonzi — Last 10

L W W L W W W W L W

Blaise Bicknell — Last 10

L L L L L L L W L L