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Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco — Prediction

Challenger Clay Augsburg challenger · 1. round 13:30

Predicted probability

Average Odds

1.48  /  2.53

Market probability

63.09%  /  36.91%

Why This Prediction?

Benito Sanchez Martinez is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1601 vs 1558), a stronger serve (81.6% vs 53.2% of service points won) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1594.9 Elo 1547.7
1601.3 Elo (surface) 1557.6
6 Wins (Challenger) 114
6 Wins (surface) 114
6 Last 15 form 6
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.104 Dominance ratio 1.023
1244 Rank 370
24.3 Age 28.9
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Benito Sanchez Martinez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-07-07.

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-08-04.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benito Sanchez Martinez Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

1st Serve In %

75.5%
69.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

81.1%
57.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

83.3%
43.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%
28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%
48.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.50
0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00
0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.1%
61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%
65.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.4%
46.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.6%
40.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.9%
56.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.27
0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25
0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benito Sanchez Martinez Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

Break Points Saved %

49.3%

Break Points Converted %

60.0%
27.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.5%
64.7%

Break Points Converted %

49.3%
49.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Benito Sanchez Martinez 00 Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco

Clay Augsburg challenger · 2026-08-25
2 Aces 2
2 Double Faults 0
63 Service Points 69
41 First Serve In 51
30 First Serve Won 28
10 Second Serve Won 6
3 Break Points Saved 4
4 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Benito Sanchez Martinez — Last 10

L W W W W W L L L W

Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco — Last 10

L W L L L L L W L W