ATP tennis predict — Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena

Challenger Clay Augsburg challenger · SF 10:30

Predicted probability

Benito Sanchez Martinez

Germany

65.55%

Facundo Mena

Argentina

34.45%

Average Odds

1.59 / 2.25

Market probability

58.59% / 41.41%

Why This Prediction?

Benito Sanchez Martinez is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1709 vs 1617), a higher Elo rating (1697 vs 1580) and a stronger return game (43.9% vs 33.7% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1697.2 Elo 1580.2

1708.8 Elo (surface) 1617.2

9 Wins (Challenger) 197

9 Wins (surface) 172

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.241 Dominance ratio 1.027

1244 Rank 345

24.3 Age 33.9

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Benito Sanchez Martinez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

7 matches with market odds since 2026-07-07.

Facundo Mena

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–4L · 55.6%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benito Sanchez Martinez Facundo Mena

1st Serve In %

75.5%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

81.1%

69.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

83.3%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.5%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%

41.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.50

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.00

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.1%

63.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.9%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.4%

46.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.6%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

57.9%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.27

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Benito Sanchez Martinez Facundo Mena

Break Points Saved %

—

54.5%

Break Points Converted %

60.0%

25.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

68.5%

64.6%

Break Points Converted %

49.3%

34.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Benito Sanchez Martinez 0 – 0 Facundo Mena

Clay Augsburg challenger · 2026-08-28

SF

Facundo Mena #345

Benito Sanchez Martinez #1244

4-6 6-4 7-6

4 Aces 7

6 Double Faults 5

118 Service Points 112

85 First Serve In 71

61 First Serve Won 55

15 Second Serve Won 23

6 Break Points Saved 6

7 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.2 Average Odds 1.6

Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Facundo Mena — Prediction