ATP tennis predict — Ben Shelton vs Daniel Altmaier

ATP Hard Shanghai · 2. round 06:10

Predicted probability

Ben Shelton

USA

85.97%

Daniel Altmaier

Germany

14.03%

Average Odds

1.11 / 6.52

Market probability

85.45% / 14.55%

Why This Prediction?

Ben Shelton is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (2170 vs 1859), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (2135 vs 1740) and better recent form (12 wins in his last 15 matches vs 6).

Player Comparison

2169.8 Elo 1859.2

2134.8 Elo (surface) 1739.6

151 Wins 118

107 Wins (surface) 45

12 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.939 Dominance ratio 0.987

4 Rank 67

24.0 Age 28.1

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Ben Shelton

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 11W–1L · 91.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Daniel Altmaier

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–6L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ben Shelton Daniel Altmaier

1st Serve In %

66.7%

60.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.7%

71.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.0%

42.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.1%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.8%

48.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.50

Double Faults per Service Game

0.21

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.7%

60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.6%

72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

56.4%

50.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.9%

38.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.2%

50.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.64

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Ben Shelton Daniel Altmaier

Break Points Saved %

63.2%

51.5%

Break Points Converted %

39.2%

34.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

74.1%

62.5%

Break Points Converted %

41.3%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Ben Shelton 0 – 1 Daniel Altmaier

Clay Hamburg · 2026-05-17

R16

Daniel Altmaier #65

Ben Shelton #6

4-6 7-6(4) 6-4

3 Aces 6

2 Double Faults 1

106 Service Points 111

59 First Serve In 83

42 First Serve Won 50

25 Second Serve Won 18

5 Break Points Saved 8

8 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Ben Shelton vs Daniel Altmaier — Prediction