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Beibit Zhukayev vs Amir Omarkhanov — Prediction

Challenger Hard Astana 4 challenger · 1. round 08:45

Predicted probability

Beibit Zhukayev

Kazakhstan

80.17%

Amir Omarkhanov

Kazakhstan

19.83%

Average Odds

1.77  /  1.97

Market probability

52.67%  /  47.33%

Why This Prediction?

Beibit Zhukayev is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1612 vs 1335), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1631 vs 1451) and more career match wins (97 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1612.4 Elo 1334.8
1630.8 Elo (surface) 1451.4
97 Wins (Challenger) 1
82 Wins (surface) 1
8 Last 15 form 1
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.058 Dominance ratio 0.769
419 Rank 629
25.8 Age 18.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Beibit Zhukayev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-08-11.

Amir Omarkhanov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-11.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Beibit Zhukayev Amir Omarkhanov

1st Serve In %

61.0%
57.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

77.7%
68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.4%
33.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%
16.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.9%
22.6%

Aces per Service Game

1.41
0.16

Double Faults per Service Game

0.56
0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.4%
61.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.5%
62.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.7%
43.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.4%
32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.8%
44.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.84
0.23

Double Faults per Service Game

0.32
0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Beibit Zhukayev Amir Omarkhanov

Break Points Saved %

63.2%
50.0%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

72.2%
52.1%

Break Points Converted %

37.3%
37.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Beibit Zhukayev 00 Amir Omarkhanov

Hard Astana 4 challenger · 2026-08-11
6-3 6-4
4 Aces 5
9 Double Faults 5
65 Service Points 58
35 First Serve In 33
21 First Serve Won 26
11 Second Serve Won 10
4 Break Points Saved 2
9 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.8 Average Odds 2.0

Beibit Zhukayev — Last 10

L W L L W W L W L W

Amir Omarkhanov — Last 10

L L L L L L L L W L