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Aziz Ouakaa vs Hunter Heck — Prediction

Challenger Hard Istanbul challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Aziz Ouakaa

Tunisia

70.23%

Hunter Heck

USA

29.77%

Average Odds

1.93  /  1.79

Market probability

48.12%  /  51.88%

Why This Prediction?

Aziz Ouakaa is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1470 vs 1383), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1487 vs 1391) and more career match wins (16 vs 3).

Player Comparison

1469.6 Elo 1382.8
1486.7 Elo (surface) 1391.3
16 Wins (Challenger) 3
14 Wins (surface) 3
8 Last 15 form 3
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.717 Dominance ratio 0.996
485 Rank 731
27.0 Age 24.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aziz Ouakaa

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Hunter Heck

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aziz Ouakaa Hunter Heck

1st Serve In %

54.5%
50.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%
89.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.9%
68.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%
45.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.6%
77.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.18
0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.8%
60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.8%
70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

39.2%
42.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.6%
24.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.0%
44.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.16
0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35
0.35

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aziz Ouakaa Hunter Heck

Break Points Saved %

42.9%
100.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%
50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.7%
48.5%

Break Points Converted %

46.7%
35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aziz Ouakaa 00 Hunter Heck

Hard Istanbul challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Hunter Heck #731

Aziz Ouakaa #485

6-2 6-4
6 Aces 1
4 Double Faults 0
54 Service Points 55
35 First Serve In 41
22 First Serve Won 28
3 Second Serve Won 8
2 Break Points Saved 3
7 Break Points Faced 5
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Aziz Ouakaa — Last 10

L L L W L W W W L L

Hunter Heck — Last 10

L W W W W W L W L L