ATP tennis predict — Aziz Dougaz vs Manas Dhamne

Challenger Hard Astana 4 challenger · R16 09:30

Predicted probability

Aziz Dougaz

Tunisia

52.10%

Manas Dhamne

India

47.90%

Average Odds

1.50 / 2.49

Market probability

62.41% / 37.59%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1577.5 Elo 1486.0

1579.8 Elo (surface) 1504.6

82 Wins (Challenger) 22

60 Wins (surface) 9

6 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.081 Dominance ratio 0.888

690 Rank 362

29.4 Age 18.6

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aziz Dougaz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Manas Dhamne

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aziz Dougaz Manas Dhamne

1st Serve In %

57.9%

63.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.8%

65.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.7%

49.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.5%

26.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.4%

40.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.04

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.11

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.7%

62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.7%

47.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.6%

30.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.8%

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.29

Double Faults per Service Game

0.30

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aziz Dougaz Manas Dhamne

Break Points Saved %

50.8%

48.3%

Break Points Converted %

46.0%

45.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

57.6%

51.4%

Break Points Converted %

51.9%

38.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aziz Dougaz 0 – 0 Manas Dhamne

Hard Astana 4 challenger · 2026-08-13

R16

Aziz Dougaz #690

Manas Dhamne #362

7-5 6-3

6 Aces 4

3 Double Faults 2

62 Service Points 52

39 First Serve In 32

31 First Serve Won 22

14 Second Serve Won 8

6 Break Points Saved 1

7 Break Points Faced 4

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Aziz Dougaz vs Manas Dhamne — Prediction