ATP tennis predict — August Holmgren vs Pedro Martinez

Challenger Hard Villena challenger · 1. round 11:00

Predicted probability

August Holmgren

Denmark

40.19%

Pedro Martinez

Spain

59.81%

Average Odds

1.58 / 2.21

Market probability

58.31% / 41.69%

Why This Prediction?

Pedro Martinez is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (43.3% vs 28.2% of return points won), a higher Elo rating (1732 vs 1685) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1706 vs 1656).

Player Comparison

1685.3 Elo 1732.4

1655.6 Elo (surface) 1705.8

94 Wins (Challenger) 164

78 Wins (surface) 39

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.244 Dominance ratio 0.915

245 Rank 130

28.4 Age 29.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

August Holmgren

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Pedro Martinez

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–5L · 64.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

August Holmgren Pedro Martinez

1st Serve In %

64.2%

67.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.8%

67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.4%

58.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

21.0%

33.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

41.3%

56.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.68

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.0%

65.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.5%

63.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

57.6%

43.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.4%

33.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.9%

56.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.10

Double Faults per Service Game

0.39

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

August Holmgren Pedro Martinez

Break Points Saved %

62.2%

64.2%

Break Points Converted %

22.5%

49.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.1%

55.7%

Break Points Converted %

39.4%

42.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

August Holmgren and Pedro Martinez have never played each other.

August Holmgren vs Pedro Martinez — Prediction