ATP tennis predict — Asier Meneses Perny vs Takuya Kumasaka

Challenger Hard Segovia challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Asier Meneses Perny

Spain

19.29%

Takuya Kumasaka

Japan

80.71%

Average Odds

15.92 / 1.02

Market probability

6.02% / 93.98%

Why This Prediction?

Takuya Kumasaka is the favorite because he has better recent form (6 wins in his last 15 matches vs 0), more career match wins (21 vs 0) and fewer double faults per game (0.10 vs 0.25).

Player Comparison

1461.2 Elo 1445.0

1500 Elo (surface) 1446.4

0 Wins (Challenger) 21

0 Wins (surface) 21

0 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.339 Dominance ratio 1.043

- Rank 512

21.5 Age 27.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Asier Meneses Perny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-07-19.

Takuya Kumasaka

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Asier Meneses Perny Takuya Kumasaka

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

72.3%

58.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

56.7%

72.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

43.5%

53.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

37.5%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

58.6%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Asier Meneses Perny Takuya Kumasaka

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

52.9%

64.6%

Break Points Converted %

62.5%

34.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Asier Meneses Perny 0 – 0 Takuya Kumasaka

Hard Segovia challenger · 2026-07-19

qualification - 1. round

Takuya Kumasaka #514

Asier Meneses Perny #-

6-2 6-4

0 Aces 5

4 Double Faults 1

52 Service Points 48

31 First Serve In 35

16 First Serve Won 27

6 Second Serve Won 7

3 Break Points Saved 3

8 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 15.9

Asier Meneses Perny vs Takuya Kumasaka — Prediction