ATP tennis predict — Arthur Weber vs Yanki Erel

Challenger Hard Jingshan challenger · 1. round 05:00

Predicted probability

Arthur Weber

France

34.94%

Yanki Erel

Turkey

65.06%

Average Odds

2.58 / 1.44

Market probability

35.82% / 64.18%

Why This Prediction?

Yanki Erel is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1631 vs 1529), a higher Elo rating (1622 vs 1529) and more career match wins (43 vs 29).

Player Comparison

1529.3 Elo 1622.1

1528.8 Elo (surface) 1631.3

29 Wins (Challenger) 43

28 Wins (surface) 35

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.853 Dominance ratio 0.812

405 Rank 331

34.4 Age 26.0

left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Arthur Weber

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-08-04.

Yanki Erel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

14 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Weber Yanki Erel

1st Serve In %

67.3%

60.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.0%

47.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

22.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

53.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.6%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

55.8%

66.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.5%

51.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.8%

22.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

35.7%

48.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Weber Yanki Erel

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

61.3%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

52.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.9%

64.2%

Break Points Converted %

42.2%

29.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Arthur Weber and Yanki Erel have never played each other.

Arthur Weber vs Yanki Erel — Prediction