ATP tennis predict — Arthur Weber vs Filip Peliwo

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · QF 04:40

Predicted probability

Arthur Weber

France

46.63%

Filip Peliwo

Poland

53.37%

Average Odds

1.17 / 4.68

Market probability

80.00% / 20.00%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1487.3 Elo 1479.8

1489.3 Elo (surface) 1445.8

26 Wins (Challenger) 117

25 Wins (surface) 103

7 Last 15 form 5

1 Head-to-head wins 0

0.853 Dominance ratio 1.110

405 Rank 560

34.3 Age 32.6

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Arthur Weber

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-08-04.

Filip Peliwo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Weber Filip Peliwo

1st Serve In %

67.3%

55.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

62.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.0%

40.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.5%

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.23

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18

0.39

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.6%

65.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

55.8%

68.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

40.5%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

35.7%

53.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Weber Filip Peliwo

Break Points Saved %

60.0%

54.8%

Break Points Converted %

37.8%

42.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.9%

65.7%

Break Points Converted %

42.2%

35.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Arthur Weber 1 – 0 Filip Peliwo

Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · 2026-09-11

QF

Arthur Weber #405

Filip Peliwo #560

7-6 6-2

3 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 0

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

22 First Serve Won 22

14 Second Serve Won 17

11 Break Points Saved 2

17 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 4.7

Hard Zhuhai CH · 2023-08-21

R32

Arthur Weber #386

Filip Peliwo #344

6-3 6-3

4 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 1

73 Service Points 56

53 First Serve In 35

34 First Serve Won 23

13 Second Serve Won 9

8 Break Points Saved 4

8 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Arthur Weber vs Filip Peliwo — Prediction