ATP tennis predict — Arthur Rinderknech vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

ATP Clay Gstaad · QF

Predicted probability

Arthur Rinderknech

France

32.63%

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Greece

67.37%

Average Odds

2.45 / 1.54

Market probability

38.60% / 61.40%

Why This Prediction?

Stefanos Tsitsipas is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1838 vs 1670), a higher Elo rating (1830 vs 1715) and a better head-to-head record against Arthur Rinderknech (1-0).

Player Comparison

1714.5 Elo 1830.0

1669.5 Elo (surface) 1837.8

149 Wins 418

40 Wins (surface) 141

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

1.236 Dominance ratio 0.951

28 Rank 85

31.0 Age 27.9

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Arthur Rinderknech

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Rinderknech Stefanos Tsitsipas

1st Serve In %

58.5%

60.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.4%

73.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.5%

46.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.7%

25.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.2%

45.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.64

0.53

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%

59.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.6%

80.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.2%

62.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%

29.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.9%

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.74

0.81

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Rinderknech Stefanos Tsitsipas

Break Points Saved %

59.3%

59.2%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%

50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.5%

75.8%

Break Points Converted %

28.8%

36.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Arthur Rinderknech 0 – 1 Stefanos Tsitsipas

Clay Gstaad · 2026-07-17

QF

Stefanos Tsitsipas #85

Arthur Rinderknech #28

6-3 3-6 6-3

7 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 5

69 Service Points 74

44 First Serve In 47

35 First Serve Won 42

14 Second Serve Won 13

2 Break Points Saved 1

4 Break Points Faced 2

24 Winners 26

36 Unforced Errors 18

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Hard Rotterdam · 2026-02-09

R32

Stefanos Tsitsipas #32

Arthur Rinderknech #28

7-5 6-3

2 Aces 4

4 Double Faults 5

57 Service Points 60

36 First Serve In 37

31 First Serve Won 32

14 Second Serve Won 7

1 Break Points Saved 3

1 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Arthur Rinderknech vs Stefanos Tsitsipas — Prediction