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Arthur Rinderknech vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo — Prediction

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 2. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Arthur Rinderknech

France

52.60%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Argentina

47.40%

Average Odds

1.57  /  2.39

Market probability

60.35%  /  39.65%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1718.2 Elo 1825.3
1755.0 Elo (surface) 1584.4
151 Wins 80
87 Wins (surface) 13
8 Last 15 form 9
2 Head-to-head wins 0
0.945 Dominance ratio 0.982
29 Rank 52
31.1 Age 24.8
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Arthur Rinderknech

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–3L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Rinderknech Juan Manuel Cerundolo

1st Serve In %

58.5%
55.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

75.4%
76.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.5%
53.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

22.7%
28.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.2%
51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.64
0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31
0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.8%
57.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

78.6%
74.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.2%
52.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.0%
36.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.9%
53.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.74
0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.19
0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Rinderknech Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Break Points Saved %

59.3%
63.6%

Break Points Converted %

35.1%
43.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

73.5%
69.1%

Break Points Converted %

28.8%
46.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Arthur Rinderknech 20 Juan Manuel Cerundolo

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-16
9 Aces 14
5 Double Faults 6
114 Service Points 120
67 First Serve In 56
49 First Serve Won 47
28 Second Serve Won 33
4 Break Points Saved 11
6 Break Points Faced 14
41 Winners 41
58 Unforced Errors 37
2.4 Average Odds 1.6
Hard Indian Wells Masters · 2026-03-04
0 Aces 0
0 Double Faults 0
0 Service Points 0
0 First Serve In 0
0 First Serve Won 0
0 Second Serve Won 0
0 Break Points Saved 0
0 Break Points Faced 0
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Clay Kitzbuhel · 2023-07-31
19 Aces 3
5 Double Faults 9
90 Service Points 100
54 First Serve In 57
49 First Serve Won 46
18 Second Serve Won 20
2 Break Points Saved 5
2 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Arthur Rinderknech — Last 10

L W W L L W W L L W

Juan Manuel Cerundolo — Last 10

L L W W L W W L W L