← Back to Predictions

Arthur Nagel vs Loann Massard — Prediction

Challenger Hard Roanne challenger · qualification - 1. round 13:00

Predicted probability

Arthur Nagel

France

36.98%

Loann Massard

France

63.02%

Average Odds

1.53  /  2.36

Market probability

60.67%  /  39.33%

Why This Prediction?

Loann Massard is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1471 vs 1429), better recent form (4 wins in his last 15 matches vs 2) and more career match wins (8 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1422.6 Elo 1428.9
1428.6 Elo (surface) 1471.0
2 Wins (Challenger) 8
1 Wins (surface) 8
2 Last 15 form 4
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.873 Dominance ratio 1.037
354 Rank 768
23.5 Age 21.2
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Arthur Nagel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-16.

Loann Massard

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Nagel Loann Massard

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

64.8%
64.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.3%
68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

39.8%
50.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%
31.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.5%
54.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.36
0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27
0.13

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Nagel Loann Massard

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

53.4%
53.2%

Break Points Converted %

37.5%
39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Arthur Nagel and Loann Massard have never played each other.

Arthur Nagel — Last 8

L L L L L W L W

Loann Massard — Last 10

L L L W W L L W L L