ATP tennis predict — Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert

ATP Hard Shanghai · 2. round 06:10

Predicted probability

Arthur Gea

France

46.42%

Ugo Humbert

France

53.58%

Average Odds

1.80 / 1.99

Market probability

52.51% / 47.49%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1957.8 Elo 1964.9

1968.5 Elo (surface) 1937.1

26 Wins 213

22 Wins (surface) 151

12 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.967 Dominance ratio 1.197

56 Rank 32

21.8 Age 28.3

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Arthur Gea

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Ugo Humbert

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Gea Ugo Humbert

1st Serve In %

51.4%

62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.8%

74.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.2%

50.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.9%

29.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.4%

53.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.41

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.6%

56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

73.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.6%

49.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%

37.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%

55.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Gea Ugo Humbert

Break Points Saved %

55.6%

69.0%

Break Points Converted %

39.3%

39.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

45.3%

71.1%

Break Points Converted %

36.2%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Arthur Gea and Ugo Humbert have never played each other.

Arthur Gea vs Ugo Humbert — Prediction