ATP tennis predict — Arthur Gea vs Soon Woo Kwon

ATP Hard Los Cabos · 1. round

Predicted probability

Arthur Gea

France

29.42%

Soon Woo Kwon

South Korea

70.58%

Average Odds

2.02 / 1.77

Market probability

46.70% / 53.30%

Why This Prediction?

Soon Woo Kwon is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1787 vs 1663), a higher Elo rating (1781 vs 1663) and more wins on hard courts (129 vs 21).

Player Comparison

1663.1 Elo 1781.4

1662.6 Elo (surface) 1787.0

12 Wins 96

8 Wins (surface) 73

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.966 Dominance ratio 0.966

127 Rank 158

21.6 Age 28.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Arthur Gea

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–1L · 85.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Soon Woo Kwon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 8W–1L · 88.9%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Gea Soon Woo Kwon

1st Serve In %

54.6%

56.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.2%

76.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.5%

55.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.0%

27.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

50.5%

53.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.40

0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.6%

53.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

69.8%

70.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.6%

53.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.1%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.9%

52.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.41

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Arthur Gea Soon Woo Kwon

Break Points Saved %

62.4%

67.2%

Break Points Converted %

41.3%

40.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

45.3%

80.0%

Break Points Converted %

36.2%

49.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Arthur Gea 0 – 1 Soon Woo Kwon

Hard Los Cabos · 2026-07-29

1. round

Arthur Gea #127

Soon Woo Kwon #158

6-4 6-7 6-2

3 Aces 1

5 Double Faults 8

98 Service Points 108

44 First Serve In 65

30 First Serve Won 45

27 Second Serve Won 23

6 Break Points Saved 8

12 Break Points Faced 11

26 Winners 14

60 Unforced Errors 55

2.0 Average Odds 1.8

Grass Wimbledon · 2026-06-24

qualification - 2. round

Soon Woo Kwon #202

Arthur Gea #132

5-7 6-3 6-4

5 Aces 14

8 Double Faults 9

109 Service Points 106

55 First Serve In 58

39 First Serve Won 39

25 Second Serve Won 21

10 Break Points Saved 5

14 Break Points Faced 10

29 Winners 31

38 Unforced Errors 32

1.9 Average Odds 1.9

Arthur Gea vs Soon Woo Kwon — Prediction